Högner, Annika Ernest, Di Capua, Giorgia, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Donner, Reik V., Feulner, Georg, Wunderling, Nico (2025):
Causal pathway from AMOC to Southern Amazon rainforest indicates stabilising interaction between two climate tipping elements
- Environmental Research Letters
Bosikun, Kehinde, Jamali, Tayeb, Ghanbarian, Behzad, Kurths, Jürgen (2025):
Complex network analysis of extreme temperature events in the Contiguous United States
- Atmospheric Research
Chandler, David M., Langebroek, Petra M., Reese, Ronja, Albrecht, Torsten, Garbe, Julius, Winkelmann, Ricarda (2025):
Antarctic Ice Sheet tipping in the last 800,000 years warns of future ice loss
- Communications Earth and Environment
Zheng, Yayun, Hu, Yufei, Boers, Niklas, Duan, Jinqiao, Kurths, Jürgen (2025):
Impact of precipitation on the resilience of tropical forests to non-Gaussian Lévy fluctuations
- Applied Mathematical Modelling
Gambhir, A., Albert, M., Doe, S., Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Farajalla, N., Giatti, L., Gundimeda, H., Hendel-Blackford, S., Hoyer, D., Homer-Dixon, T., Hussein, S., Jacome-Polit, D., Kemp, L., Korowicz, D., Kovacic, Z., Kwakkel, J., Laybourn-Langton, L., Lempert, R., Mahamoud, A., Oliver, T., Pavkova, I., Ponnoly, J., Satgar, V., Shipman, M., Sillmann, J., Silver, N., Stevenson, S., Richardson, R.:
A systemic risk assessment methodological framework for the global polycrisis
- Nature Communications
Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim, Winkelmann, Ricarda (2025):
Kippdynamiken im Erdsystem
- Physik: Erkenntnisse und Perspektiven
Smith, E. Keith, Wiedermann, Marc, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Heitzig, Jobst, Winkelmann, Ricarda (2025):
A global threshold model of enabling conditions for social tipping in pro-environmental behaviours – the role of sea level rise anticipation and climate change concern
- Earth System Dynamics
Hebden, Sophie, van der Wel, Narelle, Liddy, Hannah, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Wood, Richard, Rast, Michael (2025):
Special Issue: International Space Science Institute (ISSI) Workshop on Tipping Elements in the Earth’s Climate System [Guest Editorial]
- Surveys in Geophysics
Loriani, Sina, Bartsch, Annett, Calamita, E., Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Hebden, S., Hirota, M., Landolfi, A., Nagler, T., Sakschewski, Boris, Staal, A., Verbesselt, J., Winkelmann, Ricarda, Wood, R., Wunderling, Nico (2025):
Monitoring the Multiple Stages of Climate Tipping Systems from Space: Do the GCOS Essential Climate Variables Meet the Needs?
- Surveys in Geophysics
Bathiany, Sebastian, Bastiaansen, Robbin, Bastos, Ana, Blaschke, Lana, Lever, Jelle, Loriani, Sina, De Keersmaecker, Wanda, Dorigo, Wouter, Milenković, Milutin, Senf, Cornelius, Smith, Taylor, Verbesselt, Jan, Boers, Niklas (2025):
Ecosystem Resilience Monitoring and Early Warning Using Earth Observation Data: Challenges and Outlook
- Surveys in Geophysics
Sudharsan, S., Pal, Tapas Kumar, Ghosh, Dibakar, Kurths, Jürgen (2025):
Extreme events in two coupled chaotic oscillators
- Physical Review E
Zhang, Xiaoyu, Xu, Yong, Liu, Qi, Kurths, Jürgen (2025):
Tipping of thermoacoustic systems with secondary bifurcation in colored noise environments: Effects of rate
- Chaos
Everall, Jordan, Tschofenig, Fabian, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Otto, Ilona M. (2025):
The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority
- Earth System Dynamics
Enache, Elias, Kozak, Oleksandr, Wunderling, Nico, Vollmer, Jürgen (2025):
Constraining safe and unsafe overshoots in saddle-node bifurcations
- Chaos
Bochow, Nils, Poltronieri, Anna, Boers, Niklas (2024):
Projections of precipitation and temperatures in Greenland and the impact of spatially uniform anomalies on the evolutionof the ice sheet
- The Cryosphere
Jose, Jerry, Gires, Auguste, Roustan, Yelva, Schnorenberger, Ernani, Tchiguirinskaia, Ioulia, Schertzer, Daniel (2024):
Multifractal analysis of wind turbine power and rainfall from an operational wind farm – Part 1: Wind turbine power and the associated biases
- Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Bathiany, Sebastian, Nian, Da, Drüke, Markus, Boers, Niklas (2024):
Resilience Indicators for Tropical Rainforests in a Dynamic Vegetation Model
- Global Change Biology
Akabane, T. K., Chiessi, C. M., Hirota, M., Bouimetarhan, I., Prange, M., Mulitza, S., Bertassoli Jr, D. J., Häggi, C., Staal, A., Lohmann, G., Boers, Niklas, Daniau, A. L., Oliveira, R. S., Campos, M. C., Shi, X., De Oliveira, P. E. (2024):
Weaker Atlantic overturning circulation increases the vulnerability of northern Amazon forests
- Nature Geoscience
Morr, Andreas, Boers, Niklas, Ashwin, Peter (2024):
Internal Noise Interference to Warnings of Tipping Points in Generic Multidimensional Dynamical Systems
- SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems
Ripple, William J, Wolf, Christopher, Gregg, Jillian W, Rockström, Johan, Mann, Michael E, Oreskes, Naomi, Lenton, Timothy M, Rahmstorf, Stefan, Newsome, Thomas M, Xu, Chi, Svenning, Jens-Christian, Pereira, Cássio Cardoso, Law, Beverly E, Crowther, Thomas W (2024):
The 2024 state of the climate report: Perilous times on planet Earth
- BioScience
Rosser, Jonathan P., Winkelmann, Ricarda, Wunderling, Nico (2024):
Polar ice sheets are decisive contributors to uncertainty in climate tipping projections
- Communications Earth and Environment
Willeit, Matteo, Ganopolski, Andrey (2024):
Generalized stability landscape of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
- Earth System Dynamics
Rockström, Johan, Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Fetzer, Ingo, Martin, Maria A., Wang-Erlandsson, Lan, Richardson, Katherine (2024):
Planetary Boundaries guide humanity’s future on Earth
- Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
Wang, Yu, Cao, Jinde, Kurths, Jürgen, Yanchuk, Serhiy (2024):
Universal bifurcation scenarios in delay-differential equations with one delay
- Journal of Differential Equations
Nian, Da, Bathiany, Sebastian, Sakschewski, Boris, Drüke, Markus, Blaschke, Lana, Ben-Yami, Maya, von Bloh, Werner, Boers, Niklas (2024):
Rainfall seasonality dominates critical precipitation threshold for the Amazon forest in the LPJmL vegetation model
- Science of the Total Environment
Li, Qianze, He, Wenping, Xie, Xiaoqiang, Mei, Ying, Sun, Hui, Boers, Niklas (2024):
Early warning signal of abrupt change in sea level pressure based on changing spectral exponent
- Chaos, Solitons and Fractals
Albrecht, Torsten, Bagge, Meike, Klemann, Volker (2024):
Feedback mechanisms controlling Antarctic glacial-cycle dynamics simulated with a coupled ice sheet–solid Earth model
- The Cryosphere
Albrecht, Torsten, Klemann, Volker, Bagge, Meike (2024):
PISM-VILMA glacial cycle simulations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet coupled to the solid Earth and global sea level [dataset]
Spaiser, Viktoria, Juhola, Sirkku, Constantino, Sara M., Guo, Weisi, Watson, Tabitha, Sillmann, Jana, Craparo, Alessandro, Basel, Ashleigh, Bruun, John T., Krishnamurthy, Krishna, Scheffran, Jürgen, Pinho, Patricia, Okpara, Uche T., Donges, Jonathan Friedemann, Bhowmik, Avit, Yasseri, Taha, Safra de Campos, Ricardo, Cumming, Graeme S., Chenet, Hugues, Krampe, Florian, Abrams, Jesse F., Dyke, James G., Rynders, Stefanie, Aksenov, Yevgeny, Spears, Bryan M. (2024):
Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilization
- Earth System Dynamics
Klose, Ann Kristin, Coulon, V., Pattyn, F., Winkelmann, Ricarda (2024):
The long–term sea–level commitment from Antarctica
- The Cryosphere
